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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21123

Pratzerthal-Redange VS US Rumelange

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.83%
Draw
19.12%
Away
44.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 990-minute result
Brier score
0.4852
Log loss
0.8198

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
ee5073ab6d30ba5011c5f782249e854e0e0ba060cb884592bf6d207ca60b6e6c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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