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Frozen pre-match forecast · #211172

Al Rawdhah VS Al Loa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.58%
Draw
25.82%
Away
36.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6098
Log loss
1.0051

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
582cc8443451b20a833264d7cc74bf4d39b7055509849f4aff366f95362cc76f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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