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Frozen pre-match forecast · #211163

PAOK U19 VS Zrinjski U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.33%
Draw
21.96%
Away
29.71%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4035
Log loss
0.7271

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
9acd38057b622f91d480bbc3e389a665c6e6fc6c63bf28ea1533a161458c2fdf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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