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Frozen pre-match forecast · #211123

Gloria Bistriţa VS FCSB

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.01%
Draw
19.77%
Away
66.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.2170
Log loss
1.9654

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
6818e5a76dce85dec3139fc49b590a541d00c6c64b57cf9545f3222b533d5bdb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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