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Frozen pre-match forecast · #211111

South Shields W VS Sjr Worksop W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.88%
Draw
18.96%
Away
58.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.2634
Log loss
0.5420

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
ae3ed327456cd6dc60740e27a3efee88855ce0be1e83636089c6e9a24e225a6c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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