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Frozen pre-match forecast · #211029

Sparta Praha II VS Viktoria Plzeň II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 09:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.41%
Draw
24.33%
Away
36.25%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6209
Log loss
1.0146

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
ddf77b8c390c8f4561a3e04ea193666c2dee2e2ab61696495401b6e4f5be8add

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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