Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #211017

Stade Tunisien VS Club Africain

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.72%
Draw
33.87%
Away
31.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6395
Log loss
1.0579

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
95c7dbc5f2091c26c7bef41a506f5b91fd067a9961cd440ab9d836bba9910b90

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →