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Frozen pre-match forecast · #210986

Mjallby AIF VS Kalmar FF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.23%
Draw
27.40%
Away
31.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7955
Log loss
1.2946

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
5c83916fcff9daafcbcc5b545690191486f5a49ac9a018e7e2ddbbd61af2db29

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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