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Frozen pre-match forecast · #210768

Banfield Res. VS Racing Club Res.

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 18:02 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.92%
Draw
23.96%
Away
41.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5260
Log loss
0.8887

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 18:02 UTC
SHA-256
6329e5bec142c1e66276d7d56f2f3534ba820c6f4e5a224df45bf97c5132285a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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