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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21065

Sárisápi Bányász VS Balatonalmádi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.54%
Draw
17.22%
Away
16.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1680
Log loss
0.4074

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
d9dfd96eb29c46f97d59e3a30b503e98fc68be2d5737e34b1917d04105c610eb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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