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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21064

1908 SZAC VS Bicskei

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.66%
Draw
17.30%
Away
60.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2410
Log loss
0.5102

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
dfce646179e7e6dd4ee875e8afccdfe03ec2a05bc10a390138b662d55e971698

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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