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Frozen pre-match forecast · #210615

Dobrovce VS Rače

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 10:03 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.16%
Draw
22.75%
Away
49.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9170
Log loss
1.4806

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 10:03 UTC
SHA-256
9b33e053e4c1763569dda91296432435e315d7709a7f012e78e63bc7dce122c7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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