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Frozen pre-match forecast · #210602

Loznica VS Cukaricki

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 10:03 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.23%
Draw
23.92%
Away
53.84%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3197
Log loss
0.6191

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 10:03 UTC
SHA-256
25c32c4257c48a5f3e205d67d2356628d5e851e1c0ba4ead50795c40b1c6edba

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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