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Frozen pre-match forecast · #210565

OFK Vršac VS OFK Beograd

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 10:02 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.00%
Draw
24.96%
Away
51.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3596
Log loss
0.6726

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 10:02 UTC
SHA-256
740cfcd2c9eac3693a34f8d8b8797f1e88634b8f1180102c3a2e3d9318aa5d1f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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