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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21054

Szentlőrinc SE VS BVSC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.71%
Draw
26.37%
Away
28.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4589
Log loss
0.8050

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
618a9b7650856390b3e2b86b534579fba082677249a4c36a44dfa3d1c18137b3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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