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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21034

Bjarg VS Træff

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.53%
Draw
21.08%
Away
20.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2580
Log loss
0.5356

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
5343f9739ad67fe56491f2828f8b0c35a032b1265c3a88da6db08cbb08f78919

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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