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Frozen pre-match forecast · #210283

Goztepe U19 VS AZ U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
11.82%
Draw
16.76%
Away
71.42%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1237
Log loss
0.3366

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
3991ce08dacde58390a82fb94d4f7b111721f77e521b7e360c4f28be93d644f3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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