Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #210280

Ittihad Tanger VS CR Khemis Zemamra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.58%
Draw
27.53%
Away
23.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3973
Log loss
0.7220

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
5797db37ff11b751ded4b7cc1bab1be977f6b39efd0a1d4bdbcbac20fa8eafa4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →