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Frozen pre-match forecast · #210232

Inverness CT VS Montrose

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.52%
Draw
19.28%
Away
17.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1998
Log loss
0.4538

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
1200c4fb61d92812eb70b9f4e715e86447c4d756c2b030ede65522b164d910d7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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