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Frozen pre-match forecast · #210227

Clydebank VS Alloa Athletic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.26%
Draw
20.83%
Away
20.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2613
Log loss
0.5402

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
ba04fdaf574f23666a26142b61c98be16c854807262514ee60eaefdb2e5e8618

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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