Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #210202

Al-Hilal Saudi FC VS Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 18:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.97%
Draw
25.99%
Away
31.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4891
Log loss
0.8447

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
2f63b91fd109f308749398b01b4495ef0eb10dfbf3246c9ac08e6e0ee3b76b81

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →