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Frozen pre-match forecast · #210196

Argentinos Juniors Res. VS Talleres Córdoba Res.

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.07%
Draw
28.88%
Away
37.06%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 890-minute result
Brier score
0.5956
Log loss
0.9927

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
6853b59e50b33867e054d38be9a765ff7616bda88e7bfb5f0e6a2bf1e0c1d855

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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