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Frozen pre-match forecast · #210193

Galatasaray VS VfB Stuttgart

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.38%
Draw
22.64%
Away
40.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6239
Log loss
1.0112

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
de72d9762225518befd9cda49f5ccf451b58a4c21c3f9c85ee8ac285d35c78bf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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