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Frozen pre-match forecast · #210147

Al Jubail VS Al Sharq

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 11:55 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.34%
Draw
24.44%
Away
53.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9041
Log loss
1.4089

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
830f2920d4f8e85374b1b1930df6700ac159f6e1558e297a9f58579dc82f94ba

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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