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Frozen pre-match forecast · #210130

Fujieda MYFC VS Jubilo Iwata

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.43%
Draw
27.71%
Away
33.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6619
Log loss
1.0829

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
65fb0f7ac966e3ae96f5c1dc3e75642fb58a7f40e2b792898ec0f735e28408b6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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