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Frozen pre-match forecast · #21013

Beluša VS Spartak Myjava

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.68%
Draw
19.66%
Away
22.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.0295
Log loss
1.6266

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
eafd5d067916b33d3a5ee9fe824611f47ffbfdb871af10d34172ef2a3df04246

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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