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Frozen pre-match forecast · #210117

Suchitepéquez VS Malacateco

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 02:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.50%
Draw
26.44%
Away
32.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5150
Log loss
0.8796

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
0ed1a8ab422a33f3ab88940a9952c7a9449b9d5a6e728161af82ca991cda021a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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