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Frozen pre-match forecast · #210082

Juventus U23 VS PRO Vercelli

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.98%
Draw
27.01%
Away
32.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8032
Log loss
1.3090

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
2920648cc384e4546a4332bf2ef9dd5dceb6ef2ab1ba8d3a15b24491dc7e9389

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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