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Frozen pre-match forecast · #210081

Fiorentina W VS Juventus W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.84%
Draw
21.76%
Away
60.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2360
Log loss
0.5042

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
e38ee284736b3c9e5d7759137d0fad79d236db933cb8587340faad5ece981a5a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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