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Frozen pre-match forecast · #210040

Al-Wasl FC VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
77.50%
Draw
15.43%
Away
7.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.0795
Log loss
0.2550

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
bdd982400cfe626c4f95a94f3f5d5f1ce15c4f7005704b8404f849d387878dc3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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