Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #210013

Al Nasr U23 VS Al Sharjah U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 12:55 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.36%
Draw
24.31%
Away
46.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8737
Log loss
1.4143

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
a64d86865f7eb2167bf19fe30acd3c648d3710d233f69ea6d8d2b4db648a5045

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →