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Frozen pre-match forecast · #209997

Kitayosce VS Singida Big Stars

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.19%
Draw
25.85%
Away
15.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2672
Log loss
0.5416

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
b697607ccc66939058d5f12ec07c8884f5c9297ede546878a12815119656d6f4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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