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Frozen pre-match forecast · #209931

Deportivo San Pedro VS Municipal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.95%
Draw
29.11%
Away
34.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6171
Log loss
1.0230

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
b3136b57d4d9b7eb50f05531450629f852e0a0cd6dffce003849b09ddc20129e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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