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Frozen pre-match forecast · #209892

Charleroi VS RAAL La Louvière

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 18:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.41%
Draw
21.41%
Away
15.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2028
Log loss
0.4555

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
bceac70374cf6b9344174bbb5dceb7d4ab9364c0292fa6d6819fb3488895dc28

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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