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Frozen pre-match forecast · #209870

Academico Viseu VS Rio Ave

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.68%
Draw
26.17%
Away
26.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4106
Log loss
0.7407

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
ae1b7dba17c19bb7c7383ca4da2a3beb22249e001216488208e2ece466e6154c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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