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Frozen pre-match forecast · #209777

Terrassa VS Reddis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.06%
Draw
29.62%
Away
29.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5211
Log loss
0.8901

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
1948666d256d461f508253de363526f54dfef5a46bf20540a4d64abe3a32603e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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