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Frozen pre-match forecast · #209654

Coruxo VS Sestao River

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.21%
Draw
28.97%
Away
35.82%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6198
Log loss
1.0267

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
9d6d9991e96e17bb0c45a69a82e676e66d802cd9899d46c6fc68da9156735061

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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