Frozen pre-match forecast · #209484
Drochtersen/Assel II VS Bersenbrück
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 28 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 29.81%
- Draw
- 21.84%
- Away
- 48.35%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.7741
- Log loss
- 1.2103
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 28 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
- SHA-256
- d2834b40b80d1fe2b83df7d8a8c72f6802fee704f7c1fdf4402d2a7b84e5e893
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.