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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20935

Villa Valle VS Milan II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.12%
Draw
38.93%
Away
37.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5899
Log loss
0.9687

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
e64c93ea328c3282e3c83bbd58f0459192c214476db18900d657122218f17778

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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