Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #209348

Voorde Appelterre VS Ninove

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.90%
Draw
22.50%
Away
25.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3475
Log loss
0.6559

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
432357438cdaabaa0b32b9d3e6617db77fbed7a3dd2276b1bf6122cc96ee43a1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →