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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20909

Inter U23 VS Foggia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.36%
Draw
27.74%
Away
27.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4644
Log loss
0.8128

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
1c3b99081b14944689dea25f206f4c162e77f9976ad195dd2f4f1e9d909c6b83

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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