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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20885

Galata VS Düzcespor

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.74%
Draw
38.12%
Away
37.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5821
Log loss
0.9645

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
0febf3120c382e99dddfeac68428a1cb9bcf3d8dc30f00bed5e26bdd60af207c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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