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Frozen pre-match forecast · #208719

Dinamo Bucuresti VS Uta Arad

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.25%
Draw
18.20%
Away
12.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1434
Log loss
0.3674

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
1a92707eab5f24ae5da457c52b8372356446516d0bd14663bab2ec0779e0c698

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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