Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #20863

Habay-la-Neuve VS Flénu

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.80%
Draw
37.77%
Away
25.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6067
Log loss
0.9997

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
ef9a9948bb14d0e257b772894678973b5b7ac7736a139ab4fc206672f9e03c28

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →