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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20860

Rupel Boom VS De Kempen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.23%
Draw
20.05%
Away
36.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6275
Log loss
1.0018

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
a4f42584a5a156de7527750fdced073da200753297e217d27c7b6c4b4933eeb9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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