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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20851

FK Jablonec VS Zlin

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.06%
Draw
22.13%
Away
12.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0461
Log loss
1.5082

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
91d7503ef7dd2ca517f8c3b93b7e5f47b12694fd2ef61840d87326f8570dddba

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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