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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20837

Helsingborg VS Norrby IF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.85%
Draw
38.74%
Away
23.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5733
Log loss
0.9483

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
08a63b5015d3a9f3abe10d97389e2ef46f718ab63e326eefabf9d9c6dcd57c21

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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