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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20826

Bassecourt VS Münsingen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.52%
Draw
21.30%
Away
36.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5067
Log loss
0.8552

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
2696f9d1601f07b7547b83b73cee2fb0589053790d6a06c8f1bae8e9fd002aa5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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