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Frozen pre-match forecast · #207858

SK Krumvir VS Sokol Lanžhot

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.13%
Draw
24.92%
Away
40.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.5272
Log loss
0.8927

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
cbcb6460b8674a2ff80f0f414a9d9d9836dbf3a6ef61921d36f5ae9181fedf0f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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