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Frozen pre-match forecast · #207510

Přepeře VS Kolín

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 09:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
73.75%
Draw
15.52%
Away
10.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1046
Log loss
0.3046

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
c34e8cb8f131d9fccd0bbe1fc0e1019424cc0bfe125c7431cc0937e24f228426

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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